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Fear, Not Support for the War, Keeps Russians Submissive, Browder Says

Залякування, а не підтримка війни, змушує росіян залишатися покірними, стверджує Бровдер. Photo: ХВИЛЯ

Browder on Why Russians Stay Submissive

William Browder, the financier behind the Magnitsky Act, says Russians’ compliance with the Kremlin is driven by fear rather than by agreement with the war. In an interview with The Sun, relayed by the outlet Khvylya, he argued that the public’s willingness to make sacrifices is tied to how convincingly President Vladimir Putin explains the war. The weaker those explanations become, the less willing Russians will be to make sacrifices, he believes.

What Polling Shows About Public Sentiment

A June Levada Center survey found that two-thirds of Russians support peace negotiations, while only a quarter back continuing the war — the lowest level of war support since the invasion began. Browder also noted that the Kremlin has even abandoned the pretense of a managed opposition, and that a coordinated challenge to the system is now impossible in Russia.

“When the war hits home, Putin has to explain what it is for. As those explanations lose their persuasive power, Russians will be ready to put up with less. At some point, the wave of anger may become too much for Putin to withstand,” Browder said.

His comments reflect broader unease in Russian society about the war and its consequences — a mood that is likely causing concern in the Kremlin. With support for the war weakening, as the survey indicates, public sentiment may be shifting in ways that could influence Russia’s political landscape. As outrage and disappointment grow, the authorities may face fresh challenges in propping up the regime and maintaining military operations. These dynamics could have a major impact on the Kremlin’s future decisions about the war and domestic politics.

As public sentiment in Russia shifts, the Kremlin faces mounting challenges, particularly as Ukraine intensifies its military actions. The recent strikes on strategic targets, such as the Wildberries warehouses, are putting additional pressure on President Putin to justify the ongoing conflict. To understand how these developments might affect the political landscape in Russia, explore the rising tensions surrounding these military operations.