The Ukrainian forces are facing challenges with the withdrawal from the Donetsk region, even if Ukraine agrees to Russia's conditions. This is only possible if there is a complete ceasefire throughout the entire area of military operations. This was reported by
Glavkomreferring to a report from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
Risk Analysis for Ukrainian Forces
ISW analysts note that the withdrawal of troops may be a serious step, but it will create serious threats for the retreating Ukrainian forces and for the troops in the Kharkiv region.
Potential Threats During Troop Withdrawal
- Russian aviation and artillery may attack Ukrainian concentrations, which are likely to be located near roads and defensive structures.
- These strikes may affect the ability of Ukrainian forces to resist Russian attempts to break through to the Kharkiv region.
- Troop withdrawal may open the way for further advances of Russian forces in the Kharkiv and Luhansk regions.
The Importance of a Complete Ceasefire
Thus, a partial ceasefire that does not cover Russia's military actions in the Kharkiv and Luhansk regions will not ensure the safe withdrawal of Ukrainian forces.
Security Guarantee Issues
At this moment, it is important to discuss security guarantees for Ukraine. Kremlin head Vladimir Putin expressed readiness to discuss this issue with US President Donald Trump and pointed to a possible guarantor country.
The ISW report emphasizes that troop withdrawal carries its risks and requires a comprehensive approach to ensure the safety of Ukrainian forces during this process.