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The number of new cancer cases worldwide will increase by 67% by 2050

Кількість нових випадків раку у світі зросте на 67% до 2050 року. Photo: НВ — Техно

Forecasts on the Growth of Cancer Diseases

A study conducted by the American Cancer Society in collaboration with the International Agency for Research on Cancer predicts a significant increase in the number of new cancer cases worldwide. It is estimated that by 2050, this figure could rise by 67% to reach 34 million new cases per year. In 2024, nearly 21 million new cancer cases have already been diagnosed, and 9.8 million people died from this disease. Lung cancer remains the most common type of cancer.

According to global statistics, approximately one in five people will face a cancer diagnosis during their lifetime. About one in nine men and one in thirteen women die from cancer. The study is based on data from the GLOBOCAN database, which tracks 34 types of cancer in 186 countries. The highest rates of incidence are reported in Australia and New Zealand, while the lowest rates are observed in some regions of Africa and South-Central Asia. The highest mortality rate among men is observed in Eastern Europe, while among women, it is in Melanesia.

Statistics for 2024

In 2024, lung cancer has been diagnosed in 2.6 million new cases, accounting for 13% of the total diagnoses. The number of deaths from lung cancer reached 1.9 million. The primary cause of lung cancer remains tobacco use. Breast cancer in women ranks second in prevalence with 2.4 million new cases and is also the leading cause of mortality among the female population. In West Africa, the mortality rate from breast cancer is twice as high as in Australia or New Zealand, even though the incidence rate there is half as low.

Colorectal cancer is among the top three most common cancers with over 2 million cases. Liver cancer ranks third in the number of deaths worldwide. Among men, prostate cancer accounts for 1.5 million diagnoses, while cervical cancer remains the leading cause of death for women in 26 countries. Experts estimate that nearly half of cancer-related deaths could be prevented by modifying risk factors, early detection, and timely treatment.

Preventive measures recommended to reduce the risk of developing cancer include:

  • quitting smoking and alcohol consumption;
  • controlling body weight;
  • increasing daily physical activity;
  • protection against infections related to the occurrence of cancers.

This data highlights the importance of prevention and early diagnosis of cancer diseases, as the increase in their number poses new challenges for healthcare systems. In the context of globalization and changing lifestyles, the issue of cancer prevention becomes relevant, requiring active actions from governments, medical institutions, and society as a whole.

As cancer rates continue to rise, it's crucial to understand the emerging trends within specific demographics. For instance, recent studies have revealed a puzzling increase in colorectal cancer cases among young adults, raising concerns among health experts. This phenomenon could shed light on broader patterns in cancer development and help inform prevention strategies as the global burden of cancer escalates.