Macron prepares a call to Putin: how changes in Europe and the USA will affect Ukraine
Against the backdrop of a difficult situation on the front, where a possible exit of Russian troops from the Sloviansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration is anticipated, Ukraine is facing political uncertainty from key partners. There are currently no serious security guarantees, like those once provided by the Budapest Memorandum. This is happening in anticipation of major political changes in the Western world.
Political changes in Europe
Europe is awaiting a 'great electoral cycle' in 2024. In Germany, the 'Alternative for Germany' party has a rating of 27%, in France – low approval ratings for President Macron, who is reportedly preparing for a phone call with Putin while conducting technical consultations. In Britain, the Labour Party feels the pressure from Nigel Farage's Reform Party. These shifts could affect the level of support for Ukraine.
Meanwhile, the Epstein case in the USA, involving 3 million files and touching influential politicians, may impact the Congressional elections on November 3, 2024. Former President Donald Trump, commenting on the war, stated:
“If I were president, this war would not have happened.” - Donald Trump
His potential plans regarding the Ukrainian gas transport system are speculated to be linked to trade interests in the energy sector.