The Theory of a First World-Systems War
Economist Oleksiy Kushch, speaking on political analyst Yuriy Romanenko's broadcast, has outlined a theory of an ongoing "first world-systems war." This conflict, waged primarily through economic, diplomatic, and technological means, pits the United States against China, with the European Union as the central prize. According to Kushch, this struggle began in 2020 and is projected to continue until 2028 or 2029. This framework helps explain the intense geopolitical maneuvering and trade pressures witnessed in recent years.
A Period of Thirty-Year Turbulence
Kushch describes the current era as one of thirty-year turbulence, with this specific phase of the conflict holding major implications for global order. The primary actors are the US, China, and the EU. The ultimate objective for the superpowers is to draw Europe, with its formidable technological, financial, and consumer potential, into their respective spheres of influence.
"This first world-systems war is happening, and its key goal is the fight for the third party." - Oleksiy Kushch
In this context, the "third party" is the European Union. A crucial aspect of the struggle involves influencing the formation of EU policy, determining whom it partners with and what stance it takes on the world stage. Kushch emphasized that "the fight for the third is the fight for the European Union, for influence over the European Union."
In response, the EU is pursuing a strategy of "strategic autonomy" and new sovereignty to navigate these pressures. This concept highlights Europe's pivotal role in the global competition between leading powers. The EU's choices will significantly impact the future balance of power, making its quest for autonomy a critical factor for stability amid contemporary challenges like climate change and economic crises.