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Kikai Supervolcano Eruption 7,300 Years Ago Triggered Major Population Shifts, Earthquakes, and Tsunamis

Виверження вулкана Кікай понад 7300 років тому призвело до значних змін у розподілі населення, викликавши землетруси та цунамі. Photo: НВ — Техно

Massive Ash Deposits and Tsunami Waves

Scientists from Lund University and the University of Cambridge have uncovered that the supervolcanic eruption within the Kikai caldera, occurring more than 7,300 years ago, caused profound demographic transformations across Japan. This catastrophic event unleashed powerful earthquakes, enormous tsunamis, and deposited ash layers several meters thick, leading to dramatic population declines in some regions while others saw continued growth.

Population Changes and Their Underlying Causes

The Kikai eruption is classified as VEI-7, highlighting its immense scale. It released between 332 and 457 cubic kilometers of magma and ash. By analyzing 540 radiocarbon-dated archaeological samples from various sites throughout Japan, researchers found a sharp population drop in southern and central parts of Kyushu Island. Meanwhile, the northern coastal areas of Kyushu experienced population growth despite widespread environmental damage.

Population declines were also recorded in remote areas, including along Japan’s Pacific coastline. Several factors contributed to these demographic shifts:

  • thick ash deposits that devastated food supplies;
  • temporary climate disruptions;
  • respiratory health issues in both humans and animals caused by ash exposure.

This eruption took place during the flourishing Jomon hunter-gatherer culture. As researcher Enrico Crema noted:

“Despite substantial human losses, the Jomon society did not collapse.”

Survivors were forced to migrate, adapt their lifestyles, and develop new methods of subsistence. These demographic shifts left a lasting imprint on Japan’s cultural and social evolution in the millennia that followed.

This study illustrates how natural disasters can dramatically reshape population patterns and influence societal development. The Kikai supervolcano eruption represents a pivotal moment in Japan’s history—not only causing significant losses but also driving human adaptation to new environmental challenges, which shaped the course of civilization. Understanding these historical processes offers valuable insights for modern societies facing similar natural hazards.