Due to the strikes by the Russian Federation, Ukraine has lost 400 thousand square meters of warehouses: when will this impact prices

Over the past month, Russian troops have systematically attacked the logistics infrastructure of Ukraine. As a result of the strikes, the country lost about 400,000 square meters of warehouse space, of which approximately 100,000 square meters were refrigerated. Despite this, there has not yet been a sharp increase in prices in stores. This was reported by People's Deputy Yaroslav Zheleznyak in a video on the YouTube channel 'Iron MP'.

According to him, on August 5, five distribution centers in Kyiv region were attacked. On August 20, strikes hit, among others, the warehouse of the 'Fora' network, facilities of VARUS, Roshen, and the KLO oil depot, and on August 22 - the logistics center of 'Aurora'.

Prices for goods increased slightly after strikes on warehouses in August 2026

Referring to an analysis of cash data, Zheleznyak noted that the expected sharp spike in prices after the destruction of warehouses did not occur. In particular, the same basket of goods in NOVUS increased in price by 2.2% during the studied period, while in Auchan it rose by 1.2%.

From August 14 to 24, food and non-alcoholic beverages did not increase in price significantly. At the same time, vegetables and fruits rose by about 7%, although usually in August they decrease in price by approximately 10% due to seasonality.

The prices for non-food items have risen more noticeably. Hygiene products and cosmetics increased by 4.7%, household goods and cleaning products by approximately 4.3%, and alcohol and tobacco by almost 2%.

'Business promised not to raise prices on food. And by the way, they kept their word', stated Zheleznyak.

Meanwhile, promotions and assortments have changed. According to the data provided by the deputy, the share of discounted products in NOVUS decreased from 17.5% to 8.7%. The share of items missing from the shelves rose from 28.5% to 34% in ten days. The selection of eggs, cereals, pasta, and legumes has decreased the most.

Logistics costs may impact prices as early as September 2026

The main problem, according to Zheleznyak, is not current price tags but future increases in logistics costs. As he stated, only about 2.5% of warehouse space remains vacant in Kyiv region, and it will be possible to quickly replace approximately 20-30% of the destroyed capacity.

Logistics costs for dry goods may rise by 10-15%, and for refrigerated items by 35-50%. According to the deputy's forecast, this factor may start to reflect on the prices of goods around mid-September.

After the first attacks, the government held a meeting with representatives of retail and logistics. Among the areas of assistance discussed were insurance against war risks, accessible crediting, provision of state premises for the dispersal of warehouses, tax deferrals, and expedited approval of new logistics facilities.

Zheleznyak claims that there has been no significant public progress in most of these areas so far. In particular, large retailers, according to him, still do not have a sufficient mechanism for insuring large distribution centers against rocket and drone strikes.

'Business has obviously performed its part of the work. It may have lost warehouses, but it kept the price on the shelves. And now it's the state’s turn to close its part', summed up Zheleznyak.