New World Order: How the War in Ukraine is Changing Global Transport Routes

New World Order: How the War in Ukraine is Changing Global Transport Routes

The war in Ukraine, which began with Russian aggression, has far-reaching consequences for the global order, particularly in the field of transport and economy. During this challenging period, the world is experiencing a transition to the sixth technological structure, accompanied by new technological, geo-economic and geopolitical trends. In particular, the development of new transport corridors between Asia and Europe is expected to be a response to the challenges posed by the war.

Among the main drivers of profitability in the new economic reality will be:

• artificial intelligence
• robotics
• innovative technologies

These areas promise to change approaches to production and logistics, creating new opportunities for countries that can adapt to these changes. Meanwhile, the transformation of energy leads to a decline in demand and prices for fossil fuels, which will affect global energy markets and transport infrastructure.

In the context of changes, Russia has lost its status as a reliable transit country, which significantly affects its position in international trade. In response to this, new initiatives, such as IDR and IMEC, were launched in 2023, indicating the countries' desire to find alternative paths for cooperation and development.

Countries located in the 'Risk Belt' may find themselves in economic and political dependence on China. This could alter the balance of power at a global level, as China's economy becomes more technological, and India may become the 'China of a new cycle'. Europe, in turn, will remain the center of purchasing power, which will also influence the formation of new routes and corridors.

Prospects for the Development of Transport Routes

Thus, the war in Ukraine not only changes the political landscape but also opens new prospects for the development of transport routes on a global scale, which will undoubtedly be an important factor in shaping a new world order.

It is important to note that changes in global transport routes can significantly impact the economic relations of countries and their strategic positions. The development of new corridors between Asia and Europe can strengthen economic cooperation between various regions, as well as influence the competitiveness of goods and services. In this context, adapting countries to new conditions will be critically important for their economic growth and stability.