The Russian economy is declining due to the war: how the opinion of Russians has changed over the two years
The economic problems in Russia, arising from the war in Ukraine, are leading to significant changes in public opinion. Revenues from the sale of oil and gas in Russia have fallen by 22% over the past year, creating additional difficulties for the state budget. The budget deficit in Russia is currently approaching 3% of GDP, and half of the state budget is spent on the armed forces, the military-industrial complex, internal security, and debt servicing.
The civilian sector is under pressure, and this is becoming evident in the changes in public opinion. In May 2023, 57% of Russians believed that most people in their social circle support the war. However, by October 2025, the situation changed: 55% of respondents indicated that negative attitudes towards the war prevail in their environment. Only 40% of Russians consider veterans of the 'special military operation' to be heroes, indicating a growing criticism of military actions.
Public attitude towards the war
Currently, 88% of respondents express a desire to end the war and shift focus to socio-economic issues. Moreover, 47% of citizens expect President Putin to choose the path to end the war. However, according to expert Oleg Vyugin, the consequences of the war will only become evident in 2026, which may indicate further challenges for the Russian economy and society.
Thus, the gap between the population's desires and reality is becoming increasingly noticeable, as economic difficulties grow and public opinion undergoes significant changes. Putin continues to double down on his policies, yet the future of the country remains uncertain amid rising discontent among the population.
The changes in public opinion among Russians and the economic difficulties faced by Russia point to potential social and political consequences in the future. The growing dissatisfaction of the population may become a catalyst for changes in the country's political course and also affect relations with the international community. In light of these events, it is important to monitor the government's further actions and the public's reaction to the economic challenges facing Russia.