Mobilization in Ukraine: Problems and Challenges
In Ukraine, discussions are ongoing regarding the problems of mobilization, particularly concerning the decrease in the number of conscripts available for service. Viktor Muzhenko, former chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, notes that at the beginning of the war, as of February 24, 2022, 60% of conscripts were reserved. This means that only 40% remained unreserved and could be mobilized. However, the current mobilization potential has decreased to 10-15%.
Reasons for Changes in Mobilization
Viktor Muzhenko emphasizes that at the onset of aggression there was a certain number of conscripts who were registered at the territorial recruitment center. He explains that changes in the number of conscripts are related to the fact that some individuals had their reservations lifted and also that a number of people who were not registered at the recruitment center have now been registered.
Muzhenko also states that the failure of mobilization in Ukraine is not the responsibility of the Commander-in-Chief. The mobilization law clearly defines that general leadership is carried out by the president, while operational control is handled by the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine. Consultative and communication support is provided by the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine. These factors indicate the complexity of the situation and the necessity for improving the mobilization system in the country. — Viktor Muzhenko
In the context of history, Viktor Muzhenko compared this situation to the First World War, where the ratio of combat to support units in the Russian Imperial Army was 1:12. This may serve as an illustration of the modern challenges that Ukraine faces in terms of mobilization.
The decrease in the number of conscripts available for mobilization raises concerns among military experts and society. This may affect Ukraine's ability to maintain its defense capabilities in a prolonged war. Increased attention to the issues of mobilization and its effectiveness may become an important step in ensuring the proper level of preparedness of the armed forces.
The noted changes in the mobilization system indicate the need for adaptation to the new conditions brought about by the war. It is crucial for state structures to operate considering the real needs and capabilities to ensure effective management of human resources in a conflict situation.