Assessing the Prospects for Ukraine's Territorial Recovery
Political analyst Yuriy Romanenko has reviewed an article by the American strategist George Friedman, which discusses the prospects for Ukraine regaining its occupied territories. Romanenko stated that the question of retaking Donbas by military means is not currently on the agenda, as Ukraine lacks the strength to attack Russian forces. He emphasized that this matter is settled:
“The question for Ukraine is not whether it is ready to give up this territory. That is decided. It will not get it back.” - Yuriy Romanenko
Friedman also suggested the possibility of creating a demilitarized buffer zone in Donbas. Romanenko conveyed Friedman's view that the idea of Ukraine fielding a successful army in a few years underestimates the time needed for Russia's armed forces to reconstitute. He speculated that Russia might attempt to rebuild its position in perhaps 20 years, but noted the country has reached a 'dead end' from which recovery will be difficult.
Domestic Policy and Infrastructure Failures
Furthermore, Romanenko criticized the domestic policies of the Ukrainian government, particularly regarding the state of infrastructure. He highlighted problems in Kyiv, noting that 'pipes are bursting all over Kyiv because they haven't been replaced for decades.' Romanenko stressed that instead of solving critical issues, the authorities have focused on constructing aesthetic projects, which are not a priority during wartime and economic hardship.
Thus, Romanenko's analysis underscores skepticism about the feasibility of a military recovery of the occupied territories and criticizes internal problems requiring urgent resolution.
This analysis highlights the complexity of Ukraine's situation, especially concerning military and domestic political challenges. The issue of territorial recovery remains pertinent, but the circumstances facing the country point to the necessity of seeking new strategies and solutions. Internal problems, such as infrastructure decay, also demand attention, as addressing them is crucial for the nation's stability and development during war.