Key challenges facing Poland amid Russian aggression
In an article for Khvylia, Marek Budzisz, an expert at the Polish think tank Strategy&Future, examines two critical unresolved tasks for Poland in the context of Russian aggression. The first is building a deep-strike capability, which he considers essential for national security. The second is passing a bill on government actions during external threats, which has been pending in the Sejm for two years.
Defense potential and legislative moves
Budzisz suggests that negotiations with Turkey over the Yildirimhan missile—which has a range of 6,000 km—could be one possible solution to boost Poland's defense readiness. He emphasizes that
“acquiring the ability to strike deep into enemy territory I would call a fundamental task for Poland”(Marek Budzisz). The state of missile production is also alarming. According to EU Commissioner Kubilius, Russia produces 1,200 missiles annually, while Europe manages only 300, and Ukraine produces 700 missiles along with thousands of long-range drones.
The bill on the actions of state authorities in the event of an external threat was submitted to the Sejm on June 12, 2024, but has yet to be adopted. Budzisz criticizes the delay, noting that
“the BBN draft 'ended up in the trash'”(Marek Budzisz). He also stresses the need to shift approaches to deterrence, which, in his words, “depends not only on strength but also on the ability to apply it.”
Additionally, Admiral Vandier articulated a 21st-century deterrence principle, stating that “the awakening is not yet complete.” He emphasizes that “deterrence in the 21st century is built on a new variable: learning faster than the adversary.” Marek Budzisz also points out that “the weakening of deterrence is partly a consequence of Washington's actions, but no less a result of our own failures.”
Thus, Poland faces pressing challenges that require immediate government action to strengthen defense capabilities. The importance of passing legislative initiatives governing actions during external threats underscores the need to adapt to new security conditions in the region. This, in turn, will affect the overall balance of power in Eastern Europe and could have long-term implications for regional stability.
As Poland seeks to enhance its defense capabilities amid ongoing threats, the recent approval for the production of Patriot missiles in the country marks a significant step forward. This development not only aims to bridge the missile production gap with Russia but also aligns with the urgent need for Poland to bolster its military readiness. To learn more about how this collaboration with the U.S. could reshape Poland's defense landscape, read further on the manufacturing of Patriot missiles in Poland.