Russian assault infantry numbers have climbed by 18%

July 2023: Russia’s infantry expansion and escalating combat operations

In July 2023, Russia expanded the number of foot soldiers it commits to assaults by 18% versus May and by 12% compared to June. The figures were reported by Robert Brovdi, chief of Ukraine’s Unmanned Systems Forces, in a Telegram post. Brovdi noted that pilots from his unit achieved an 11% higher rate of personnel elimination in July than in the previous month. This data provides insight into Russian tactics as the war enters its second year.

Between July 1 and 25, the SBS tracking system 'PIDRAKHUKA' logged 9,028 confirmed targets. The average daily target detection rate for July hit 365, surpassing both May’s 310 and June’s 329. Meanwhile, strikes on additional objectives carried out by the SBS 'Birds' rose by 4% relative to June, totaling 42,847 hits over the same 25-day period.

Reasons for Russia’s military resource buildup

According to the commander, the increase in infantry is driven by the need to 'patch the gaps between false reports of status and the actual condition of their positions on the front line.' He added that this requires 'additional disposable assault resources.' This development is partly linked to the battlefield situation, where the enemy is reassigning Rubicon units to defend its shadow fleet.

Despite the escalating numbers, Putin has not yet publicly announced a mobilization—possibly due to upcoming September elections. However, Brovdi remarked that 'the injection of fresh stewed meat is evident,' and added that 'the signs of covert recruitment cannot be concealed from modern OSINT, not even in the depths of the taiga swamps.'

The rise in infantry numbers and heightened activity at the front indicate an escalation that could alter the conflict’s trajectory. Amid instability and the need to hold positions, Russia is likely to keep expanding its military resources. It is important to note that the frontline situation remains tense, and future moves by either side could significantly shift the course of the war.

Brovdi emphasized the importance of accuracy in reporting, stating:

'No betrayal or hyperbole in headlines: we count, analyze, and inform.'

'We will hold. Moscow will fall. We will feed and rebuild Crimea.'

The recent surge in Russian infantry numbers highlights a strategic shift in their military approach. This increase may be seen as a response to vulnerabilities exposed in recent operations, particularly in light of analyses that suggest weaknesses in Russia's capabilities. For a deeper understanding of these dynamics and their implications for the conflict, read more about the challenges facing Russia's military strategy.