Russia is trying to convince the West of an 'inevitable victory.' According to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), the Kremlin has launched an information campaign aimed at exaggerating its military strength and creating the impression of an imminent Russian victory. The Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces, Valery Gerasimov, has made statements to this effect, which, according to ISW, exaggerate his achievements.
'ISW believes that Gerasimov exaggerates most of his claims. There is evidence that since March 1, Russian troops have captured only 2346 square kilometers of territory and 130 settlements.'
However, according to ISW estimates, Russian troops are not advancing as quickly as the Kremlin claims. Russian Defense Minister Andrey Biylousov claimed that up to 700 km² are captured per month, while ISW reports that in June, July, and August 2025, the advance was only 440-500 kilometers.
Kremlin's Attempts to Manipulate Data
Analysts believe that the Kremlin is trying to influence the West by creating the impression of an inevitable Russian victory. Despite the slow pace of Russian progress and significant losses, the Kremlin seeks to portray its achievements as rapid and successful.
The Kremlin seeks to create the impression of successful rapid advancement of Russian troops in the ongoing war in the east, but the actual data suggests otherwise. The Kremlin has initiated an information campaign to create the impression of an impending Russian victory in the West, but analysts position this as an attempt to manipulate data.