Missile Hunger and Developer Mathematics

Mathematics is the harshest form of reality. Kubilius confirmed what I have been writing about for the last month. While Steve Whitcoff draws beautiful renders of 'Prosperity Ukraine' in Geneva, EU commissioner Andrius Kubilius poured a bucket of icy water on everyone in Warsaw.

Figures That Don't Add Up

• 700 missiles - annual production capacity of the USA.

• 700 missiles - the minimum need of Ukraine for just ONE winter.

• 2000+ missiles - the actual consumption in the conditions of the war of 2026.

The Logic of Circumstances

Against the backdrop of operation 'Epic Fury' against Iran and the blockade of Hormuz, every 'Patriot' becomes more valuable than a gold ingot of the same weight. Pragmatist Trump faces a choice: protect the oil rigs of allies in the Gulf (to drive down gas prices) or send scarce ammunition to Ukraine.

'Prosperity Agreement' by Whitcoff is an attempt to buy time. The USA physically cannot provide us with a 'canopy' of the required size. The Iranian crisis has completely nullified hopes for the 'bottomless warehouses' of the West.

Now 'security' is not a signature on paper, but the ability to produce thousands of missiles here and now. While Lockheed Martin plans to reach 2000 missiles only by 2030, we need to solve the issue of survival by March 2026. We are entering an area where 'the right of the strong' is backed not by law, but by the number of interceptors on the launcher.