In Ukraine, 4.6 million IDPs: why return is expected only from 2027

The situation with internally displaced persons in Ukraine

As of November 2025, there are officially 4.6 million internally displaced persons (IDPs) registered in Ukraine. Currently, evacuation is ongoing from Donetsk, Kharkiv, and Sumy regions, indicating the continued crisis situation in the country. It is forecasted that in 2025 and 2026, another 200,000 people may leave the country each year. Considering this dynamics, the return of internally displaced persons is expected only from 2027, when, according to preliminary estimates, around 100,000 citizens will begin their way back.

Main challenges for IDPs

Among the main challenges faced by IDPs is the 'life in suitcases' syndrome. This problem is highlighted by psychologist Oksana Sidun, indicating the psychological burden that people feel when forced to leave their homes. In the context of integration of IDPs, it is important to adhere to the so-called 'golden mean', which will help ensure more comfortable conditions for adaptation.

• Psychological adaptation: is an important component for those who are forced to live in new conditions.
• Urban compliance: relates to the need for urban environment adaptation to the needs of IDPs.
• Transition from care to partnership: emphasizes the importance of cooperation between communities and displaced persons.

The community acts as the main 'moderator' in the process of integrating internally displaced persons, which is an important factor for successful adaptation. All these aspects require a comprehensive approach to ensure support and create comfortable conditions for IDPs in Ukraine, as their situation remains complicated and requires attention from society and the state.

The situation with internally displaced persons in Ukraine remains critical, especially in the context of ongoing evacuation and potential further population losses.

The importance of a comprehensive approach to the adaptation of IDPs emphasizes the need for community engagement in the integration processes, which can contribute to improving living conditions for these individuals. Given the projected return of IDPs only from 2027, governmental and social initiatives should be activated now to facilitate their adaptation and provide psychological support.