After several weeks of stability, the cost of diesel fuel in Ukraine has sharply increased again. According to the consulting group «A-95», from October 20 to 24, the average price rose by 3.37 UAH/l—up to 49.29 UAH/l, with most of the jump occurring in just the last two days. Enkorr reports on this.
Why diesel has become more expensive
Analysts cite several factors affecting the market:
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Rising global quotes. As of October 24, the price of Brent oil rose to $66.6 per barrel, and ICE Gasoil quotes increased to $711 per ton, adding more than 3 UAH/l to the fuel cost.
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Weakening of the hryvnia. The dollar rate on the interbank market rose to 42 UAH, and the euro to 48.78 UAH. This led to an additional increase of 0.28 UAH/l in diesel prices.
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Import restrictions. Supplies from Slovakia have been suspended, and volumes from Lithuania and Romania have been reduced.
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Attacks on Danube ports. Due to shelling, part of the port infrastructure has been stopped, affecting the unloading rates of ships.
In southern Ukraine, the supply of diesel is complicated—Constanta port has been added to the sanctions list, and shipments from Greece and Turkey are delayed due to bad weather. Traders report that finding fuel at lower prices is practically impossible.
Regional market situation
In the southern regions, diesel is sold for 47.30–47.50 UAH/l, although it could previously be purchased for 46.6 UAH. In the west, the situation is no better—ORLEN Lietuva has reduced supplies due to a fire at the MOL plant, and the Slovak resource is completely absent. In the Volyn region, fuel is already being offered at 48 UAH/l, and stocks are quickly being sold out.
According to traders' estimates, the incoming price for diesel from Poland is 47.10 UAH/l, and from Lithuania—46.70 UAH/l. While the market awaits how prices will change next week, most operators are refraining from making predictions.
Earlier, we wrote that starting from October 1, 2025, Ukraine stopped importing diesel fuel from India, which, according to experts, is produced from Russian oil. This raises concerns among drivers about the possible shortage and rising prices.