Prosperity Agreement: Ukraine as a 'discredited asset' in the hands of the developer

Steve Witkoff, Trump's special envoy and a man accustomed to closing real estate deals worth billions, spoke of 'significant progress'. If we translate his optimism from the language of investment bankers into the language of reality, the picture emerges as extremely pragmatic.

What is the 'Prosperity Agreement'?

This is not charity. This is an 'investment package' that Trump wants to present to the American voter as proof that assistance to Ukraine is not expenditures but a profitable investment.

Key points of the 'deal'

• Resource collateral: A joint 'Investment Fund for Reconstruction' is being created. The main nuance is that 50% of all revenues (royalties and licenses) from the development of new critical mineral deposits (lithium, titanium, uranium, graphite) will go to this fund under the management of the USA and Ukraine (50/50 control).

• Energy hub: We are talking about long-term contracts for gas and oil, where American companies get priority access to the Ukrainian gas transportation system and extraction.

• Security Protocol: This is the 'carrot' that is hung in front of Kyiv. Witkoff calls it the 'platinum standard' of guarantees, but in fact, it is a bilateral agreement that is supposed to replace NATO. Trump needs Ukraine to feel 'protected' just enough so that American corporations (like BlackRock) are not afraid to bring capital here.

Ukraine as a Distressed Asset

For Witkoff and Trump, Ukraine is a 'Distressed Asset'. It needs to be stabilized ('frozen' conflict), restructured (giving part of the resources in exchange for debts and future guarantees), and presented on the market as a 'success story'.

Statements about 'progress in the coming weeks' are an attempt to fix the price of the deal before the situation on the front or in the Red Sea (Iranian crisis) completely resets the current conditions.

Trump is not building a 'Great Ukraine'. He is building a 'safe and profitable perimeter'. For him, 'progress' is when the signature on the Prosperity Agreement comes before the RF has the chance to proclaim new territorial claims. This is a question of risk management, not values.