Ukrainian intelligence has named the industry in Russia that faces a complete collapse

According to glavcom.ua: According to Ukrainian intelligence, the Russian passenger air transport industry is facing a crisis that threatens complete collapse by 2027. Western sanctions are at the core of this problem for the Russians, as access for airlines to international service centers for Boeing and Airbus planes has become impossible. This is reported by

"Glavkom"

citing Ukrainian intelligence.

Western sanctions have significantly complicated aircraft maintenance and led to 50% of the Airbus fleet in Russia standing 'on the concrete'. For example, at the airline S7, 31 out of 39 Airbus A320/321 aircraft are 'on the ground.'

Deepening Crisis

The "parallel import" used to circumvent sanctions has led to a 38% increase in aircraft maintenance costs. Since the beginning of 2025, airports in the Russian Federation have stopped operations 455 times and redirected aircraft to alternate airfields 736 times. As a result of the airline collapse on July 5-7, the losses of air carriers exceeded $250 million.

Other Problems in the Industry

The Russian aircraft manufacturing industry is also in decline. New Russian aircraft promised on paper are still under construction and testing but have already increased in price by 45-70% from the planned cost. Ukrainian intelligence predicts that losses in the Russian civil aviation sector will amount to 50 to 100 aircraft annually, and by 2027, a complete collapse may occur in the industry.

Western sanctions have greatly complicated the situation for the Russian aviation industry. The lack of access to international service centers for Boeing and Airbus aircraft has led to a public collapse, and without swift measures, the industry may face extraordinary difficulties even in the near future.