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Washington Warns Israel: Risk of Losing Military Aid and UN Veto Power

США наголошують на можливих наслідках для Ізраїлю у разі подальшої ескалації конфлікту. Photo: Главком

Strained US-Israel Relations Reach a Critical Point

Tensions between the United States and Israel are escalating sharply, driven by Donald Trump's push for a peace deal with Iran and his ongoing criticism of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. This situation is further aggravated by the victory of three pro-Palestinian candidates in New York's Democratic primaries—Brad Lander, Claire Valdes, and Darilya Avila Chevalier—who have the backing of Mayor Zogran Mamdani and openly accuse Israel of genocide in Gaza and label it an apartheid state. At the same time, Israel's popularity in the US is declining due to the prolonged war in Gaza, raising the stakes as the country faces potential losses in annual military aid, automatic UN veto protection, and tax exemptions for American funds supporting West Bank settlements.

Trump is actively pursuing a peace agreement with Iran, a move that has fueled his frequent criticism of Netanyahu. His administration is also working to curb Israeli military operations against regional adversaries, particularly in Lebanon. Meanwhile, the Democratic primaries in New York saw a win for pro-Palestinian candidates, reflecting a broader shift in US political dynamics.

Gaza War Takes a Toll on American Opinion

The two-year-long Gaza war, which began with Hamas attacks on October 7, 2023, has significantly damaged American perceptions of Israel. Recent polls show that 60% of US citizens now hold a negative view of the country. American Republicans, for their part, accuse Israel of dragging the US into its own conflicts, especially regarding Iran. As a result, Israel risks losing billions of dollars in annual military aid, the automatic US veto on anti-Israel resolutions at the United Nations, and tax benefits for American foundations that fund West Bank settlements.

The US and Iran have already signed a memorandum of understanding that will reopen the Strait of Hormuz and allow 60 days for negotiations on Iran's nuclear program. Israel was not included in these talks and has declared that the agreement does not apply to it.

Naftali Bennett commented: 'The US-Israel alliance is at an historic low, and for the first time, Israel has a purely negative influence in the United States.'

Israeli media and experts are increasingly alarmed by this deterioration, viewing Trump's pursuit of a deal with Iran as a betrayal. The primary results also highlight how central the Israel issue has become to the Democratic agenda, with American sympathy for Palestinians surpassing that for Israel for the first time. Israel's claim to being the only democracy in the Middle East is now being questioned, as Israelis argue that the memorandum ignores fundamental threats to their security from Iran.

The worsening US-Israel relationship could have major consequences for both nations, particularly in terms of military aid and international support. For Israel, which has traditionally relied on American backing, this presents a serious challenge. For the US, the shifting stance toward Israel may reflect broader social and political changes within American society. Given these factors, the evolving situation demands close monitoring, as it could impact regional stability and international diplomatic ties.

The shifting dynamics in US-Israel relations are closely tied to broader geopolitical developments, particularly the recent peace negotiations with Iran. As the US administration seeks to stabilize the region, the implications for Israel's military and diplomatic support could become even more pronounced, raising questions about future alliances and aid commitments.