China's 30-Year Plan for Eurasian Dominance Through Western Division

China's Grand Strategy on the World Stage

According to ХВИЛЯ: Economist Oleksiy Kushch, speaking on political analyst Yuriy Romanenko's broadcast, detailed a long-term Chinese strategy to fragment Western unity as a means to achieve dominance across Eurasia and Africa. According to Kushch, this plan is designed for a thirty-year timeframe and aims to split the Western bloc into distinct components.

China views the Western megacluster as consisting of three primary parts:

• The United States
• The European Union
• The United Kingdom and Commonwealth nations

'China's strategy will be to cleave the Western megacluster into three parts because it understands that a unified West is significantly stronger and impossible for China to defeat.' - Oleksiy Kushch

Kushch outlined a corresponding three-part toolkit for this strategy. The first part targets the United States, where direct confrontation is anticipated. The second focuses on the European Union, where, as Kushch noted, 'very active attempts at cooperation will take place. Primarily to turn Europe into a financial donor for China within the framework of global trade, as well as the exchange of technologies and investments.'

The third part concerns the United Kingdom and Commonwealth countries like Canada, where a strategy of conditional neutrality is to be pursued. Oleksiy Kushch emphasized that 'China's strategy is to ensure dominance over the Eurasian geopolitical space. Africa, in this context, is received as a bonus, as a prize.' Thus, the strategy aims not only to consolidate China's position in Eurasia but also to actively exploit opportunities emerging in Africa. This analysis reflects a broader view of China's shift from a regional to a global power, systematically challenging the post-Cold War international order.

Implications and Challenges for Western Nations

China's strategy underscores its ambitions to become a global leader by employing geopolitical and economic tools to divide influence in key world regions. The potential fragmentation of the Western alliance could pose significant new challenges for Western states, forcing them to reassess their security and economic cooperation strategies to counter China's rising power. This evolving dynamic could reshape the global political architecture, fostering new alliances and tensions in international relations. Western policymakers are increasingly attentive to such long-term strategic shifts, which could define great-power competition for decades.