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USA vs Great Britain: Who Really Finances Ukraine — And At Whose Expense?

Opinion
USA vs Great Britain: Who Really Finances Ukraine — And At Whose Expense?
Хто насправді підтримує Україну: США, Велика Британія та їхні витрати.

American Grants: 50 Billion Dollars Without Repayment Requirements

In political discussions, the United States increasingly emerges as an unpredictable partner for Ukraine, while Great Britain retains its reputation as one of the most consistent allies. However, financial statistics present a more complex picture. Washington has provided the Ukrainian budget with tens of billions of dollars in non-repayable grants, whereas Great Britain, Canada, and the European Union have actively utilized credit mechanisms. Japan is also involved in financing Ukraine, combining various support instruments. But does the form of credit assistance mean that Ukrainians will have to repay all these funds? The answer depends on the terms of financing and the sources of debt repayment.

A fairly resilient political contrast has formed in the Ukrainian informational space. The United States, especially during Donald Trump's presidency, is often described as a complicated and unpredictable partner. Great Britain, on the contrary, is associated with consistent support, tough rhetoric towards Russia, and diplomatic solidarity with Kyiv.

However, political statements are just one dimension of international assistance. Another, much less emotional one, is contained in the reports of the Ministry of Finance of Ukraine.

According to the data on direct budget support, the United States provided Ukraine with about 50 billion dollars in grant financing during the years 2022–2026.

In 2022, the volume of American grants amounted to 11.99 billion dollars, in 2023 – 10.95 billion, in 2024 – 8.31 billion. For 2025, 12.01 billion dollars are allocated, and for 2026 – another 6.74 billion.

In total, this is approximately 50 billion dollars in non-repayable budget assistance.

The economic significance of such support is fundamental. Grants allow for financing state expenditures without incurring additional obligations to creditors. Unlike loans, they do not increase public debt and do not create future payment obligations for servicing it.

For a country engaged in full-scale war, this is especially critical. Ukraine is forced to simultaneously finance defense, social payments, public services, and infrastructure recovery. Non-repayable funds reduce the need for new borrowings and, accordingly, future burdens on the budget.

At the same time, American grants reflected in Ukrainian budget statistics for a given year were not necessarily approved by the administration in power at the time of their arrival. Part of the funds could have been envisioned by previous Congressional decisions or international financing mechanisms.

Thus, the incoming funds for 2025–2026 cannot be automatically interpreted as new political decisions by the Trump administration.

The British Model: More Loans, Fewer Grants

The British budget support has a different structure.

According to the given indicators, in 2022 Great Britain provided Ukraine with 948 million dollars in loans and 128 million dollars in grants. In 2023 and 2024, credit financing amounted to approximately 998 million dollars per year.

In 2025, 1.955 billion dollars were added to this structure through the ERA mechanism – an international program for lending to Ukraine, the repayment of which is planned to be made using revenues from frozen Russian sovereign assets.

In the data for 2026, another 1.023 billion dollars in ERA financing is indicated, recorded as a grant, and 798 million dollars in loans.

If we summarize these indicators, we get about 6.85 billion dollars in budget support, of which approximately 1.15 billion dollars is classified as grants, and 5.7 billion dollars as loans.

Thus, according to the provided classification, approximately 83% of British budget support falls under credit instruments.

At first glance, the contrast with the American model is striking. Washington predominantly provided grants, while London focused on loans.

However, this is where the most important part of the economic analysis begins. Not every loan creates the same financial burden for the borrowing state.

European Union, Canada, and Japan: Different Forms of One Support

The comparison between the USA and Great Britain becomes even more interesting when we include other major financial partners of Ukraine.

The European Union, within the ERA mechanism, envisaged credit support amounting to up to 18.1 billion euros. In dollar terms, actual receipts may vary depending on the exchange rate and the date of the transfer. According to the reported data from Ukraine's budget reporting, the corresponding receipts from the EU amount to around 20.5 billion dollars.

These funds are in the form of loans, although the mechanism of their repayment is tied to revenues from frozen Russian assets.

Canada also utilized credit instruments. Specifically, in 2025, Canadian budget support within ERA was received as loans. Thus, the Canadian model differed from the American one, where the reported receipts were classified as grants.

Japan, for its part, traditionally combines grant assistance with concessional lending. In 2026, certain receipts may appear in Ukrainian budget statistics as grants, but to determine their origin, the specific financing mechanism must be taken into account. Japan is also involved in the ERA program through credit instruments.

This is an important nuance: a grant that comes through an international mechanism does not always mean that the initial funding was provided by the donor country solely on a non-repayable basis.

Therefore, international budget support for Ukraine is formed through several models. The USA provided extensive grant financing. Great Britain and Canada actively utilized loans. The EU combines grant programs, concessional lending, and ERA. Japan also applies various financial instruments.

And while all these mechanisms provide the Ukrainian budget with the necessary resources, their implications for public debt may vary significantly.

ERA Loans: Ukraine's Debt or a Bill for Russia?

The key difference in the part of British, Canadian, European, and Japanese assistance lies in the ERA mechanism – Extraordinary Revenue Acceleration.

This initiative by the G7 countries provides for the provision of loans to Ukraine amounting to approximately 50 billion dollars, the servicing and repayment of which are expected to be secured by future extraordinary revenues from frozen Russian sovereign assets.

Legally, such funds may be formalized as loan obligations of Ukraine. However, their economic nature differs from ordinary state loans that the government must repay from tax revenues.

If the ERA mechanism operates according to the established conditions, its primary source of repayment will not be Ukrainian taxpayers but revenues from Russian assets.

This implies that the formal existence of a loan does not always equate to a future budget burden on Ukraine.

At the same time, it is essential not to confuse revenues from frozen assets with the assets themselves. The international mechanism primarily relies on the use of profits generated by blocked Russian funds, rather than the full confiscation of their principal amount.

Thus, stating that all British, Canadian, or European credit assistance is effectively financed at Ukraine's expense would be an oversimplification.

To draw an accurate conclusion, it is necessary to separately consider ordinary loans, guaranteed borrowings, and ERA financing, taking into account their repayment terms, interest rates, and risk distribution.

Why Budget Assistance Is Not All Assistance

There is another methodological issue that often gets lost in political debates.

The figures provided primarily pertain to direct financing of the Ukrainian state budget. They do not reflect the full scope of military, humanitarian, and other international support.

The United States has supplied Ukraine with weapons, ammunition, air defense systems, ensured military training, and funded other defense programs. Some of the respective budget allocations were spent directly in the USA, including on replenishing American military stockpiles.

Great Britain also provided military assistance, conducted training for Ukrainian servicemen, supplied weapons, and supported defense programs.

The European Union financed military and civilian support through separate instruments, while Canada and Japan implemented their own assistance programs.

These expenditures do not always pass through the Ukrainian state budget and therefore do not appear in the statistics of direct budget support.

Thus, comparing 50 billion dollars in American grants with 6.85 billion dollars in British budget financing illustrates differences in financial instruments but does not constitute a complete comparison of all assistance provided by both states.

For a comprehensive assessment, it is also necessary to consider military support, humanitarian programs, guarantees, international contributions, and actual deliveries.

Political Friendship and Economic Arithmetic

Comparing American, British, European, Canadian, and Japanese support for Ukraine shows how dangerous it is to assess international relations solely through political rhetoric.

Despite diplomatic contradictions, the United States has provided extensive non-repayable funding for the Ukrainian budget during the examined period. This has a direct positive impact on the state's debt sustainability.

Great Britain employs a different structure of financial instruments, in which loans play a significant role. Canada and the European Union also provided substantial credit resources, including through the ERA mechanism. Japan combines grant support with concessional lending.

However, the economic outcome depends not only on how financing is classified in budget statistics but also on who will actually be responsible for its repayment.

In the political sphere, support can be measured by statements, diplomatic visits, and the readiness to advocate for certain decisions. In the economic sphere – by the grant equivalent of assistance, the terms of loans, repayment periods, and risks for the state budget.

And these two dimensions do not always coincide.

The main question for Ukraine is not who loudly proclaims friendship, but what financial obligations will remain after the war ends. This is why it is crucial to separate political support from its budgetary cost when assessing international assistance.

In diplomacy, friendship is measured in words. In state finances – by the terms of contracts. And only after reading the fine print does it become clear who will actually foot the bill.

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