The November Deadline of Bankova, or How Predictions Became Official News

Volodymyr Zelensky held an emergency closed meeting with the Servant of the People faction. According to the information from the people's deputies and the media, the president stated outright: there are high hopes that the 'hot phase' of the war will end by November this year, and the Ukrainian side has a clear understanding of how to reach agreements with the Russian Federation. David Arakhamia added that the next 6 months will be 'a time of maximum concentration and stabilization.' The specific details of this meeting and conditions were recorded by UNN journalists.

Last week, when there was a heated debate and predictions for the autumn of 2026 were 'buried' after Rubio's statement, I suggested not to rush. And I still recommend the same.

Forget about slogans. The composition of the meeting participants (Stefanchuk, Prime Minister Svyrydenko, and Head of the Office of the President Kyrylo Budanov) clearly shows: the deputies were presented with a dry accounting statement.

The Factor of the American Cashier

Why November? Let’s consider the global timing. In November 2026, midterm elections will take place in the United States. Trump, who is stuck in his summer 'Valley of Death' between inflation and the cost of servicing a $1.5 trillion debt, urgently needs a loud foreign policy achievement. He needs to resolve the Ukrainian issue before the elections. Bankova has received this deadline and is now bringing it to the faction leaders.

Revealing the Cards on the 'Term Sheet'

Zelensky's words about 'understanding how to reach agreements' perfectly align with yesterday's leak from the Russian Foreign Ministry regarding a 27-point plan. The negotiations in Abu Dhabi and Geneva did not simply continue - specific figures were verified there.

Zelensky acknowledged: the framework for the Big Two compromise (USA-China) is ready. Now Kyiv is waiting for Europe to appoint its 'watching' representative at the table (it seems to be Mario Draghi), and is preparing to welcome a top delegation from Washington.

So Why the 'Oreshniki' and Escalation?

Vasylevska-Smahlyuk directly voiced the logic: 'Now we have an advantage that needs to be leveraged.' We are facing classic pre-sale preparation.

Both sides (Kyiv and Moscow) will try to raise the stakes on the battlefield as much as possible this summer, taking out each other's critical infrastructure, so that by September they emerge with a fixation on the LBS with maximum trump cards in their pockets. But the final point is November. No one will maintain this 'banquet' beyond that.

Conclusion

Talk of a 'war until 2028' has officially been sent to the rubbish bin. The logic of circumstances has activated the countdown.

The next six months will be the toughest: we are expecting the peak of controlled escalation, as both sides squeeze the last drops from the situation before the inevitable stop-crane. Trump and Xi Jinping have marked their deadlines. Zelensky has accepted it and is beginning to stabilize the rear for unpopular autumn decisions.

The trading begins from a clean slate, and all participants have exactly until November. It remains to understand one thing: where and when the 'cruiser' will try to deliver its last salvo from its two rear turrets - and what the consequences will be.