Thermshits for the Great Two: why G2 is heavier than the 'spirit of Anchorage'
Putin has stated that Trump's peace initiatives could serve as a basis for agreements, although the process is difficult. Meanwhile, the Kremlin is documenting its 'on-the-ground' control over Donbass, operating with figures of 100% for LPR and 85% for DPR.
Moscow is negotiating pragmatically for the remaining areas. However, OSINT audit data brings down the media embellishments of the Kremlin: actual control in the Donetsk region is 82-83%, while the most powerful Kramatorsk-Slovyansk agglomeration remains under Kyiv's control. The enemy cannot break this PTO network in the trenches by autumn, so it is trying to take it politically - through clandestine thermshits.
Trump is looking for a quick deal, but is caught in the clutches of 'globalists'. The old transatlantic elites are sabotaging the process: they are satisfied with the 'let's hold our ground' scenario (fixation at the current LBH), as it deprives Trump of the leverage for a great deal and freezes pressure on Moscow. But the track 'Trump-Putin' is merely a dispute over the demarcation of boundaries. Real dictation belongs to the macroeconomic format G2. Without Beijing's sanction, Moscow will not compromise, risking losing its only financial support.
The demarcation in the trenches is led by Putin and Trump, relying on what the infantry holds. However, the framework of the final thermshit - the fate of sanctions, quotas, and markets - will be dictated exclusively by the Great Two (G2). The scenario for post-conflict peace will be written by Trump and Xi Jinping.
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